基于混合麻雀搜索算法海洋管线内腐蚀速率预测

    Prediction of Corrosion Rate in Marine Pipelines Based on Hybrid Sparrow Search Algorithm

    • 摘要: 为提高海洋管线腐蚀速率预测精度,建立基于混合策略麻雀搜索算法(HSSA)优化的深度脊波神经网络(DRNN)腐蚀预测模型。首先通过种群初始化,改进发现者、加入者和侦查者位置更新公式的混合策略提高麻雀搜索算法(SSA)的模型性能。随后利用HSSA对DRNN的权值和阈值进行迭代寻优,降低随机选取参数对模型性能的影响,提高模型预测精度,采用核主成分分析法(KPCA)提取出原始数据中的主要特征。最后,以中国海南东部某海底管道数据进行验证,并与其余4个模型对比。结果表明:HSSA-DRNN模型预测结果较其余模型更接近实际值,且MRE、RMSE指标均优于对比模型,证明所提模型能更准确可靠的预测海底管道腐蚀速率。

       

      Abstract: In order to improve the prediction accuracy of corrosion rate of marine pipelines, an optimized deep ridge neural network (DRNN) corrosion prediction model based on hybrid sparrow search algorithm (HSSA) was established.Firstly, through population initialization, the hybrid strategy of improving the position update formula of discoverer, joiner and scout improves the model performance of sparrow search algorithm(SSA).Then use HSSA to iteratively optimize the weights and thresholds of DRNN, reduce the impact of random selection of parameters on model performance, improve model prediction accuracy, and use kernel principal component Analysis (KPCA) to extract the main features in the original data.Finally, it is verified with the data of a submarine pipeline in eastern Hainan, China, which was compared with the other four models. The results show that the prediction results of the HSSA-DRNN model are closed to the actual value than the other models, and the MRE and RMSE indicators are better than the comparison models, which can prove that the proposed model can predict the corrosion rate of submarine pipelines more accurately and reliably.

       

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