基于MOSMA-SVR的油气管道腐蚀深度预测模型研究

    Prediction Model of Oil and Gas Pipeline Corrosion Depth Based on MOSMA-SVR

    • 摘要: 为提高埋地油气管道腐蚀深度预测精度,使用支持向量回归(SVR)对各腐蚀影响因素与最大腐蚀深度进行仿真建模。采用一种新型元启发式算法——多目标黏菌优化算法(MOSMA)对SVR 的损失函数进行优化,构建了一种高效智能混合模型MOSMA-SVR 来预测埋地油气管道最大点腐蚀深度。将模型预测结果与WOA-SVR、GWO-SVR、AOA-SVR 3 种混合模型预测结果进行对比。结果表明:构建的基于MOSMA-SVR 的腐蚀深度预测模型在测试集得到均方误差仅为0.002,平均绝对百分比误差为3.659%,模型的决定系数R2 达到0.999,各评估指标均优于其他混合模型,具有较高的精度和较好的泛化性,可为管道腐蚀控制提供决策参考。

       

      Abstract: In order to accurately predict the maximum corrosion depth of the pipe, the influencing factors of corrosion and the maximum corrosion depth of pipe was simulated by using support vector regression (SVR).A new algorithm, Multi-Objective Slime Mould Algorithm (MOSMA)was used to simplify the hyperparameter tuning of SVR, and an efficient intelligent hybrid model MOSMA-SVR was built to predict the maximum pitting corrosion depth of oil and gas pipes.The prediction results were compared with WOA-SVR, GWO-SVR and AOA-SVR hybrid algorithm models.The results show that the MSE of MOSMA-SVR is only 0.002 in the test set, the MAPE is 3.659%, and the R2 of the model is 0.999.All of the evaluation values are better than other hybrid algorithm models, which means that the MOSMA-SVR has higher precision and better generalization, which can provide reference for pipeline corrosion protection decision.

       

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